The bottom line result of Monday’s federal election: Justin Trudeau will be Prime Minister again … possibly for years!
Yes, it will be a minority Liberal government … a major step down from Trudeau’s majority before the writ was dropped … but don’t even think, worry or dream that Canadians will be heading back to the polls anytime soon.
The NDP is broke; the Bloc Quebecois is delighted; the Greens are celebrating; and the Conservatives fell far shorter than expected.
They may all bluster and bash and berate … but NONE of them will be in any position for quite some time to defeat the Liberals … and force another election.
However Canada tomorrow will be much different than it was yesterday.
The NDP held 39 seats at dissolution: however, even with fewer than that in the next Parliament, it will certainly wield considerable more influence … especially on climate change, taxation policies and social programs legislation … given the minority government situation.
But not enough to stop the Trans-Mountain pipeline.
No doubt in my mind, the Tories will back the Liberals in ANY consequential vote that would threaten the future of that project.
And speaking of the Tories, although Andrew Scheer and the Conservatives lost the election … they not only picked up seats … they also won more of the popular vote than the Liberals.
But they have a big problem.
Just think about all the dirt Sheer/Tories were able to throw at Trudeau and see stick: SNC Lavalin interference; Jody Wilson-Raybould’s mistreatment; the blackface fiasco; fears over huge carbon taxes; his embarrassing India trip; weak response to China’s bullying; and, being found guilty of two ethics violations.
And yet, although Canadians chastised Justin Trudeau … enough voters still chose to return him/Liberals to power.
What failed the Tories?
I believe, if there’s a lesson in the election results for the Official Opposition party … it’s that MOST Canadians (if you add up the Liberal, NDP, Green or even Bloc popular vote) SUPPORT the fight against climate change, ACCEPT the carbon tax, FAVOUR women’s choice on abortion, UPHOLD respecting LGBTQ rights, and AGREE with foreign aid, welcoming refugees and immigration.
Canada has changed … and, if they want to win, the Tories must as well.
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