Rustad/Conservatives Have Something Eby/NDP Don’t … Momentum!

It is the most encouraging indicator of any politician’s or party’s electoral campaign … momentum.

Ask those who remember Social Credit Bill Bennett’s defeat of the NDP’s Dave Barrett.

I was there, covering Bennett towards the end of one campaign … and still remember how poorly the Socreds (and almost a morose Bennett himself) seemed to be doing, up against the popular, affable Barrett.

Until the NDP leader, just weeks before election day, was quoted as saying something about that not being the time for government to exercise maximum restraint in public spending.

Oops!

Bennett became a different person: motivated, flying high on political adrenalin … promising taxpayers that, while Barrett and the NDP would spend, spend, spend their money, he and Social Credit would not and would show restraint with public tax dollars.

Bennett suddenly had momentum! And it carried him to victory.

Today, according to a poll released May 14 by Abacus Data, it’s John Rustad and the BC Conservatives who now have the momentum in BC.

The NDP still leads, with 40% public support, but DOWN 4% from the previous Abacus poll; BC Conservatives have 34%, UP 8%; and BC United dropped to 13%, DOWN another 4%.

“Interestingly, the BC NDP is ahead by 15 points among those aged 45 and over, is tied with the BC Conservatives among those aged 30 to 44, and trail the BC Conservatives by 7 among those under 30.”Interestingly, the BC NDP is ahead by 15 points among those aged 45 and over, is tied with the BC Conservatives among those aged 30 to 44, and trail the BC Conservatives by 7 among those under 30,” explained David Coletto of Abacus.

Results like that show me that’s it’s the Conservatives, not the NDP, that show greater promise for the future.

(You can read the full poll results here: https://abacusdata.ca/bc-poll-ndp-ahead-by-6/).

In April, a Research Co poll showed the NDP with 45% support, DOWN 1%; BC Conservatives 27%, UP 2%; and BC United at 15%, DOWN 2%.

The mainstream media pointed out the results show, if an election were held today, the NDP would still form another majority government.

But the election is not being held today … or for several more months (Oct 14, in fact) … and it’s the Conservative’s momentum I find really interesting.

A whopping 65% of respondents complained of falling behind in the cost of living battle … that’s bad for any incumbent government.

And here could lie the NDP’s Achilles heel: cost of living was the TOP issue for 68% in the poll and among other issues rated by importance: housing affordability, 54%; and healthcare, 41%. Only 26% rated reducing poverty and homelessness as a priority, and even fewer, 19% said drug issues were their major concern.

That’s bad news for the NDP, considering the emphasis their government has placed on those last two issues!

Rustad, meanwhile, has hammered other concerns: Ax the carbon tax; crack down on violent crime; end hard drug free handouts; ban tent cities; end ICBC’s basic vehicle insurance monopoly; allow private health care alongside public health care; reinstate unvaccinated, fired health care workers; expanding mining and LNG exports; and provincial control over Immigration (like the Quebec government has.)

Sure looks to me, once the campaigning begins in earnest, Rustad/Conservatives could make major inroads with urban voters on those top issues … outscoring the NDP’s social-conscience policies, promises and ideological priorities.

And if Rustad’s momentum continues, not even NDP government rebates giving taxpayers back some of the own cash will be enough!

Especially if Rustad/Conservatives highlight scheduled further increases in the carbon tax, year after year, right up to 2030!

Of course, the BC Conservatives could be vulnerable on some social issues, like parental rights in education, gay rights, gender issues etc. … but those are not showing up, so far, as the major voter concerns as the next election approaches.

So I doubt that even if Eby/NDP step up their focus/attacks on Rustad/Conservatives on those issues … it will stop the challengers’ momentum among voters hurting from those ever-increasing carbon taxes, the cost of living struggle now being felt by so many families and seniors, the heightened violent crime in urban BC and the province-wide systemic short-comings and failures in health care.

All adding up to a perfect opportunity for BC Conservatives to continue their growing momentum.

Harv Oberfeld

(Follow @harveyoberfeld on “X” for FREE First Alerts to new postings on this BC Blog.)

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19 Responses to Rustad/Conservatives Have Something Eby/NDP Don’t … Momentum!

  1. D. M. Johnston says:

    David Eby, the NDP’s newest Bob Skelly, snatched defeat from the jaws of victory.

    The problem with the NDP is that Eby and the rest are arrogant and do not listen to the voter.

    Here are the problems for the NDP:

    1) They are deemed antisemitic and support our terrorist-lite crowd whom seem to do as they wish with little intervention.
    2) They do not give a damn about global warming and climate change. The much hated Carbon Tax is merely a placebo for pretend they are doing something about Global Warming, when they are not.
    3) Their programs abuse the elderly.
    4) They have abandoned the “Hurtlands”, lack of doctors in smaller hospitals is just one of a score of issues.
    5) They are in the pocket of land developers and land speculators with their utterly daft density quest.

    Eby is nothing more than a “Vision(less) Vancouver” boy and the NDP should be renamed “Vision(less) BC”. His base is basically the unwavering NDP cult, the cycle lobby, and the the roving bands of anti this and anti that and his base is lowly turning into quicksand.

    Eby’s NDP has OK’ed spending over $11 billion to extend the Expo and Millennium Lines a mere 21.7 km (and cost around $100 million more annually to operate), yet both extension will not attract much new ridership, if any!

    For the same money they could build the 130 km Marpole to Chilliwack modern Interurban using the the present rights-of-way; rebuild 230 km of the E&N and around 200 km Kellowna to Kamloops regional railways and still have change left over for a BCIT to UBC streetcar. This is what must be done if one is serious about global warming and climate change, but not the NDP who are stuck to SkyTrain like a tar baby.

    I am not saying Eby is toast, but the electorate is fed up with the current regime and as the Liberal/United party has a yesterday’s retread Kevin Falcon as leader, they too are doomed to wallow in the politcal wilderness.

    Personally I find the three main parties toxic, with the NDP and Rustead’s anti vax MAGA style clones, positively radio-active!

    I will tick the Green box and hope they will win 5 or 6 seats after the next election.

    As for BC, we are truly (forester’s vernacular) whoever wins as those who gain power soon are consumed with power, do not listen and do little good.

    (Response: No one should write off a governing party that still garners 40 to 45% in the polls, ahead of their closest rival at 27 to 34%. However, you raise a large number of issues that I too believe could really hurt the NDP, especially with urban voters, where much of their previous electoral strength has been. As I’ve pointed out several times, too many working singles, families and retired seniors in BC are hurting more than ever … struggling to pay rents, buy groceries and pay among the highest-taxed gas prices in North America. Eby and the NDP have pressed on, seemingly oblivious to all this or unwilling/unable to alleviate people’s suffering … giving Rustad/Conservatives very fertile ground to work with in the coming election. h.o)

  2. Gilbert says:

    It seems that most voters don’t want Kevin Falcon to become premier. They know him well and consider him a typical politician. The problem with David Eby is that he’s very ideological. He now wants to recriminalize harmful drugs like heroin and cocaine, but it’s probably not because he sincerely believes that it is the right solution but simply because it improves his chances of victory.

    The decision to host the World Cup is a complete waste of money. To be honest, though, I doubt Kevin Falcon would have made a different decision. Many politicians have little concern for ordinary voters and just want to spend money on things that interest them even if they’re not in the best interests of most voters.

    Voters wants a fiscally responsible government, a government that cares about them and not just those who are very focussed on issues such as the environment, sexual orientation, equality of the sexes, mandatory vaccination and special recognition for the native population. Most people are far more concerned about real problems such as high grocery prices, crime, the cost of living, adequate health care and a good education for their children.

    The NDP is probably strong in Vancouver and Vancouver Island, and the Conservatives are probably strong in rural BC. If the NDP is perceived as too close to the federal government, that could certainly have an impact. For the Conservatives it’s vital to run a really good campaign to convince voters a change of government is necessary. If they can do that, they have an excellent chance.

    (Response: It’s not quite accurate that Eby/NDP acted “to recriminalize harmful drugs like heroin and cocaine”. They did it only in public places, like parks, streets, etc. Use of hard drugs in private places is still decriminalized. The government in fact is still giving out free “safe” hard drugs to many users. As for their re-election chances, you are right on in noting NDP strength in Vancouver and the Island, but because of the very high cost of living, rents, carbon taxes etc, I think they are now more vulnerable than ever in metro Vancouver and maybe even areas around Victoria if Rustad/Conservatives wage an effective campaign and not too many of their own candidates’ skeletons emerge. h.o)

  3. Chuck B says:

    Going to be an interesting election in October. I was behind Falcon, but the more I see of him, I do not think he would be very welcome as a Premier. I now support the Conservatives, both provincially and federally. I have said it before, with the votes of the Conservatives and United, they could form a government beating the NDP. But getting them together would be the problem (infighting etc on who would be Premier and all the other lucrative ministerial positions)
    I am on Vancouver Island and it is all NDP except one Green in Victoria. Now, it is up to the electorate to get off their ass and vote. Need a good turnout. Heaven forbid if those NDPers get in again !!

    (Response: Falcon has some very heavy baggage: Gordon Campbell; Christy Clark; his membership in their cabinets; the bad taste they all left in the mouths of too many British Columbians. Changing the part name accomplished nothing. Rustad/Conservatives offer a new choice … and have momentum. But I’m sure the NDP will start pointing out their baggage soon. Yes, will be a very fun election!! h.o)

  4. daniel says:

    Some very astute comments from the first three bloggers on this topic, Harvey.
    I really don’t like voting for a specific party just because I want to vote for the present party to be ousted. It just doesn’t feel right to me but it looks like this is what I’ll be doing.
    The NDP, come hell or high water, is trying to spend like a bunch of drunken sailors just to get re-elected and we still have a few months to go. Damn the torpedoes! God help us all. I feel sorry for the next generation who will have to deal with all this debt.
    Meanwhile all the regular folks can concentrate on paying their mortgage or rent, putting food on the table or getting that medical treatment that for some reason another hasn’t been taken care of. Don’t worry. We’re on it. All things come to those who wait. Unfortunately sometimes it’s just more pain, or worse.
    I, for one, can’t wait for election day.

    (Response: “Throw the bums out” is actually a very established Canadian political tradition: we seem to hold our noses and vote for some new leader/party just to send the incumbents packing. So many people I know personally or have just chatted to complain that they feel Eby/NDP have done nothing to improve their lives in the past few years: cost of living up; taxes up; health service levels down; druggies and thugs wandering/harassing/hurting everywhere … and yet, the current NDP 2023-2024 budget projects a record-high deficit of $7.9 Billion! That will raise the provinces debt to GDP ratio to 27.5% from 17% in 2023. And taxes …esp carbon taxes … are expected to go up, up, up! Not a great formula for easy re-election. h.o)

  5. Stu de Baker says:

    I know you don’t need my approval, but I like this one and I look forward to your future blogs as the election heat gets turned up.

    In your response to Gilbert, you brought up Conservative skeletons. There are more than enough of those to go around and I’m wondering if Falcon and Rustad might end up going after each other in a fight to be the official opposition.

    There is no love lost between those two and Rustad did cross the floor from the Liberal benches. It could get dirty.

    I think Rustad made a smart move when he offered to step aside to allow a C & U coalition to unite the right, and counted on Falcon to react the way he did. I believe Rustad knew Falcon’s ego would not allow him to do the same, so the Rustad leadership wasn’t at risk. Rustad gained political points there and has some good dry powder to blast Falcon for being self-serving.

    Falcon has no wheels and the fact he thought he and a name change is all that was needed, shows how out of touch he really is. BC United? Sounds like a soccer team to me.

    And that whole charade the media ate up about Brad West was pure theatrics. Anyone familiar with West, knows he is a leftie lite who doesn’t have the stomach for either of the two right fighters and without inviting any of it, got the best press out of that one.

    As for the NDP, I have a lot of island and coastal friends who have ripped up their NDP cards. Anyone who has a relationship with lakes or oceans feels run over by the NDP/First Nations relationships.

    I on the other hand, am enjoying watching the Indigenous folks rub our noses in it. For the past 70 years we have been badgering them to get off their asses and do something. Well guess what.

    (Response: Uh-oh! If you agree with me I may have to rethink my position! 🙂 I have not heard/read/seen stories in the media about NDPers ripping up their cards on the Island or up the coast. That would be a really interesting story that should be covered. Clearly, Falcon is an expired best-before-date politician: the only hope for a free enterpriser victory over the NDP lies with Rustad/Conservatives … despite any kooks and/or policy flaws. What remains to be seen is whether the Liberal/Socred/United coalition members can hold their noses and vote for Rustad/Conservatives or may even prefer another NDP term to hopefully get rid of Rustad/Conservatives and give United new life ..with a new leader. h.o)

  6. JC says:

    That reference to the 1975 election is an interesting one, I never knew about Dave Barrett’s gaffe and I always thought that the Socreds were ahead of the NDP from the time the writ dropped (though the 1975 election was before my time).

    Ever since the Rustad Conservatives have been ticking up in the polls, I’ve actually started to think that this election might be similar to the 1996 vote (And I do remember that election. I was still in High School, and I was door knocking/phone calling for Glen Clark in Vancouver Kingsway, an episode from my misspent youth lol).

    The NDP actually lost the popular vote to Gordon Campbell and the BC Liberals in 1996 (42% for the BCL’s, to 39% for the NDP). But with the vote split from the right wing BC Reform Party led by Jack Weisgerber (who took about 9% of the popular vote, though only electing 2 MLA’s), the NDP were able to form a Government with a very small majority in the Legislature and they managed to hold on to power for five years (until the 2001 wipeout).

    I still think something similar could happen this year, except it could be the BC United Candidates taking votes from BC Conservative Candidates in certain ridings. Geographical concentration in support for the various parties is also something to consider. A lot of the polls show Rustad polling highest outside of the Lower Mainland, where there are fewer seats to be had, while the NDP perform better in urban areas with more seats. Rustad would have to make a big push for votes in Greater Vancouver to gain a majority. It could happen, David Eby isn’t as charismatic as Glen Clark was, and I don’t think he really has a strong connection with old style NDP voters (Glen Clark definitely had that advantage, with his East End Vancouver roots and trade union background).

    The Falcon/BC United fall from favour is interesting to see but I also notice the Green Party seems to have lost a lot of support. They used to poll around 15% but Abacus has them at 10% and other polls have them as low as 7%. I wonder if the economic problems have pushed the ‘Green’ issues to the backburner for most voters? I remember up until the Autumn of 2008, ‘Green’ issues seemed to dominate political discussion and debate (Elizabeth May was polling high, the Federal Liberals were talking about a ‘Green Shift’, Al Gore won an Oscar for his documentary etc.). Then the Financial Crash in September 2008 took place and all of a sudden no one seemed interested in the ‘Green’ issues. Perhaps the Green vote will stay home this year? Either way, this looks to be the toughest election to predict in many years.

    (Research: A new poll, by Research Co, released two days ago shows the NDP at 42% support, followed by the Conservatives at 32% and BC United and the Greens tied at 12%. That would still likely result in another NDP government, unless the Conservatives and United …either before the election or after the votes are in … decided to form a coalition/agreement, like the NDP did with the Greens in 2017. Of course, although the election on Oct 14 is fast approaching, the bribes/promises/dirty laundry have yet to be fully dumped on the voters by the three top contenders. And then there are the unpredictables: the news. Any major events(s) like a surge in violent crime, an election speech gaffe, a wacko, errant candidate’s remarks can change the course of an election. The only certainty right now is that Eby should have heeded my repeated insistence at the time that he seek a public mandate for himself, his policies, his government within six to nine months of his being anointed Premier by the NDP in Nov. 2022. h.o)

  7. D. M. Johnston says:

    I think Eby will win the next election, but it will damage the NDP badly and damage the NDP federally in this province.

    The BC Supreme court has sided with the government about the policing change from the RCMP to a city police force. I think it is a blunder on the part of the NDP but their “we never make mistakes” attitude will come back to haunt them.

    It also shows the huge amount of fiscal damage a rouge mayor can do to a city.

    The extra cost of this and a $1.65 billion light rail project is fast becoming a $5 billion SkyTrain blunder, tells me the NDP just do not give a damn about the taxpayer.

    I think Rustad had any political smarts he would start to expose this financial blunder.

    As for Falcon, he is a cooked bird and the bad taste of the Campbell dictatorship, still lingers in many mouths.

    But there is another issue that is burning me up and the extent of this appalls me and that is antisemitism and how the NDP are playing the part of “see no antisemitism”, “speak no antisemitism”, “hear no antisemitism”. An acquaintance told me yesterday that her granddaughter who is in grade 4 was told by a teacher that the Middle East Crisis is the Jews fault as they are greedy and want all the land.

    This is from an elementary school teacher.

    To say I was gobsmacked, would be an understatement.

    It seems that the BCTF is condoning such garbage, knowing that Eby and the NDP will do nothing.

    If this was uttered in a classroom even 20 years ago, all hell would break loose, not today.

    I would say, inherent antisemitism within the NDP is massive skeleton in the closet, but as all political parties have skeletons, another skeleton is why Horgan was made ambassador to Germany? What political favours did he do for Trudeau to get this plum job? I think I know the answer, but is it a complicated affair.

    The next BC election is like the “Voyage of the Damned”, with none of the key players deserving the brass ring of power and the outfit I am voting for , I hope will wing 6 or 8 seats and no more.

    (Response: The polls right now would indicate another NDP term, but who knows what the next five months will bring! Watch for NDP to hand out goodies to the taxpayers (paid for of course with our own money 🙂 ) and NDP TV ads slagging Rustad’s candidates, policies, social media tweets and statements. I suspect the NDP’s campaign budget will be substantially larger too. But never underestimate the power of the leaders’ speeches and impressions that emerge from any debates. h.o)

  8. Ijustdontknowanymore says:

    I’m just done with the recklessness of the Eby extremist party just like I’m done with the Trudeau and outrageously self serving Singh party. But what pushed me over the limit with Eby is the new big brother over reach into controlling people’s and businesses lives ever so more such as with the new Airbnb rules and another new tax grab hidden as a flipping tax if people sell their homes in 2 years without a good enough explanation. I seen Rustad being interviewed on some Okanogan area news or radio outlet and he mentioned this stuff like the home flipping tax and how its just another intrusion into peoples lives and telling people how to live. I agree completely that’s its all gone to far. My god does it ever stop. Apparently not with this NDP and its almost communistic style of control over peoples lives. What’s next. It’s just phenomenal how they treat the hard working contributing people like dirt and give preferences with our money to the druggie, and crime ridden just set yourself up anywhere camps. And they may as well have a be kind to terrorists week. Nope I’m in for a change from these lunatics. I know a change may not be what myself or we are seeking but I can’t stand to see sticking with the status qou that would give Eby another 4 years of God knows what he will do. We basically know the knowns and what to expect just as we do with Trudeaus Canada wreckers.

    (Response: Maybe during the campaign Rustad/Conservatives will emphasize exactly what you are pointing to: restoring individual freedoms and choices as opposed to NDP Big Brother excessive governance. Certainly would make for clear choices! h.o)

  9. RIsaak says:

    The many issues created by the Horgan/Eby reign are not going away, especially for rural residents.

    This fire season will see more heavy handed acts from Ms.Ma’s new Ministry & the continuing absence of Public Safety (Surrey police) Minister Farnworth. Really there are far more pressing issues for that ministry to undertake, but apparently ignoring the wishes of most Surrey voters takes the cake? Of course readying the rural regions for another summer of infernos seems to not be sexy enough for the Ministers in office today! Nice to see that the first re-building permits were just issued for a couple of burnt out families in the Shuswaps, but many will wait years due to all the new roadblocks seen from many in regions like Lytton, Monte Lake & the westside of Okanagan lake. The massive increase in fees, seemingly endless reviews when coupled with the glacial pace of our bureaucratic workforce have not served the best interests or addressed concerns of many in rural regions, but nary comment in the media from anyone?

    The Falcon party is so out of date, rats fleeing the sinking vessel, surely some of Falcon’s daft comments have exacerbated this decline. The choice to yap off about opening closed BC govt. offices in China? What substance was Falcon ingesting? The PRC is messing around in our elections, federal inquiries abound and Kevin is trotting out a lame attempt at 3 Richmond ridings, sort of surprised he did not draft Hong Guo as a candidate? The relevance of the United/Liberal party was sealed when Christy’s act was
    rejected, when Gordon saddled us with environmentally masquerading revenue cash cow of carbon taxation, a concept which really needs the “cept” part to be omitted!

    BC Conservatives have opportunity aplenty, they must control renegade factions and focus on economics & efficiencies, not stupid items like abortion, the chance to win is a reality, only stupid mistakes and loose lips may ruin this opportunity. The shift of Eby’s attention away from BC United says volumes, Eby’s a savvy politician & his career choice is in the balance, the BC Cons best reign in the overtly outspoken radicals & attract disenfranchised Liberal supporters, which are not in short supply at all & most of whom detest the Eby crew!

    Here in the Okanagan BC United MLA’s are fleeing, the next wave of nominees are woefully boring and offer all the excitement of watching paint dry at 1 degree!

    Falcon’s old party will go Dodo, the past sins are too many, the solutions offered are inconsequential & Falcon’s ego may anoint Eby as an elected Premier, finally. Mr.Falcon it’s your choice, most of us have already chosen to toss you & your crew out with the dirty bath water.

    (Response: I wonder if Rustad will shoot any campaign ads in Lytton …showing how little the government has done to rebuild that fire-devastated community? I think most British Columbians (especially in urban areas) believe the government has done a lot to enhance forest fire fighting etc …but they could be very vulnerable in rural BC when it comes to rebuilding devastated communities. h.o)

  10. Stu de Baker says:

    This is already entertaining, and Falcon, a very desperate loser, just keeps stepping in it. He’s in a hole and still digging. It will only get better.

    From Global:
    “John Rustad ultimately made the decision that that’s not something he wants to proceed with, and he is going to put his personal ambitions as he views them above the best interests of the province,” Falcon said.

    “We tried once again before Christmas and we were told to f–k off, we tried again in February, we were told that they’re interested but they would be dictating the terms, and clearly Kevin Falcon still thinks he’s going to be dictating the terms,” Rustad said.

    From CTV:
    Rustad said Falcon repeatedly “demonstrated that he will always put himself first and will do absolutely anything for power.”

    “Falcon is clearly irrational and unreasonable and prepared to lie. This makes it impossible to trust anything he says,” Rustad claimed.

    (Response: I think choosing Falcon (with his past attachments to Gordon Campbell and Christy Clark) was a terrible mistake for a party trying to put on a new face. Falcon is dreaming if he believes there will be a great reversal by free enterprisers now supporting the Conservatives and those just fed up with the NDP government to suddenly breathe new life into BC United, now scoring around 12% in the polls. Not impossible, because we don’t know what kind of scary (and funny?) stuff about some Conservative candidates may surface , but unless it’s really bad, it looks very unlikely voters will soon flock to Falcon! h.o)

  11. Keith says:

    Up until now according to news reports “ unite the right “ looks to be going nowhere although as we all know much can change between now and the election. If a coalition does or doesn’t come to pass the political calculations of one or the other are endless.

    As the numbers presently stand I think Rustad should keep going without Falcon et.al who need Rustad, not vice versa.

    Hammer away on affordability, spending windfall surpluses on who knows what instead of paying down the provincial debt, public safety in downtowns big and small across the province etc, there is more than enough to run a campaign on.

    Rustad runs with his support, falcon with his, could end up with an NDP minority government, it’s not the top job which could be a stretch in any scenario with or without Falcon but Rustad calls the shots and consolidates his party as a going concern, united end up in the backbench nose bleeds as they should after the best they could do as a new leader was to resurrect the ghosts of Campbell and Clark.

    Looking forward to see how this turns out and your future posts Harvey and the resulting comments.

    (Response: Certainly looks like the two free-enterprise parties will not come together before the election, which is good news for the NDP. However, don’t rule out …after the votes are counted and the seats are allocated … the Conservatives and BC United coming together IF that would give them enough combined seats to ask the Lieutenant Governor to give them a chance to form government … just like the NDP and Greens did two elections ago. h.o)

  12. Eldon says:

    This is a fascinating story. I’ll start by acknowledging I will almost certainly vote NDP as a BC teacher.

    But here are some interesting things I’ve believed or observed:

    I assumed Kevin Falcon would be my nemesis. He is too powerless to be bothered with.

    The NDP decriminalization of hard drugs has been a disaster. Full stop.

    Eby is not Horgan. Most British Columbians loved Horgan as an Everyman before COVID, and we respected him more when he got out of the way and let Dr. Henry lead. Eby comes across as a career politician. Maybe he has some good policy, but he is motivated by self interest and that turns voters off.

    The best ray of light I have as a NDP voter is that Rustad and Falcon cannot get along. That will go a long way to paving the road to victory for my preferred party.

    Would love to hear responses as honest and non-partisan as my own.

    (Response: I think you have summed it all up quite well from an NDP supporter’s point of view. A retired teacher friend of mine is very unhappy with the NDP’s carbon taxes, pandering to homeless from anywhere and druggies … but still bristles at the mere name of Christy Clark (former Education Minister under Gordon Campbell) and will NEVER vote for the Liberals (BC United) or any of their “descendants”. Rustad/Conservatives will have to capture at least some disaffected former NDP voters (over crime, carbon taxes, high cost of housing and groceries) as well as the free enterprise vote to win the election … a tall order to be sure, but not impossible, and Eby/NDP now know that. h.o)

  13. Stu de Baker says:

    Can someone please explain to me just how the BC NDP is responsible for a national housing crisis, sweetly phrased as the “high cost of housing”?

    The fall of BC began in 1988, when Li ka-shing stole the 202 acre Expo lands for $320 million from the Socreds, who became the Liberals, who became the BC United. As a seasoned veteran of Chinese deal making, he knew how to romance a naïve Grace McCarthy and pump the ego of William Vander Zalm.

    That opened the gates and since then, pretty much every politician from Bamfield to Bonavista, has had a hand in, or benefitted from, development, foreign investment, money laundering and immigration, to the detriment of nearly all Canadians, leading to where we are today.

    (Response: Housing used to be mostly a federal responsibility, except for planning and zoning … but in the past decade, especially in BC, Big Brother provincial and municipal governments kept getting into it deeper and deeper. Even to the point of buying buildings, building buildings, then putting people in them and also requiring private developers to include in new construction regulated amounts of social housing (welfare) units, also “market” units, plus increased and onerous new permit controls/design controls, and even in some cases public space requirements etc ..pushing up, up, up the costs, to be borne, not by the developers, but by those rich enough to buy them. h.o)

  14. Not Sure says:

    Polls are fun. And this is the happiest you have sounded in any of your posts for quite some time.

    What I find interesting is the history of political parties in BC. I was born in 1951 and a Liberal-Conservative coalition was in power. (Fun fact: I was given the middle name Byron after the Premier, Byron Johnson, even though Dad was a lifelong CCF/NDP supporter), That coalition was formed in 1941 when the Liberals needed Conservative support in a minority government. They ran a joint slate in 1945 and 1949. In 1952, the coalition split and the newly formed Social Credit Party won a minority over the Conservatives. That lasted a year and the Socreds won a majority in the next election and all subsequent elections until 1972 when the Barrett led NDP won with 39.5% of the vote. In those 20 years, the Liberals and especially the Conservatives pretty much disappeared seatwise.

    For the first 40 years of my life the Socreds were in power for 36 of them. But they died out quickly after 1991 when Gordon Wilson revived the Liberal party. But that Liberal party was hardly liberal after Gordon Campbell took over and convinced former Socreds to join the now inaptly named BC Liberals.

    But they did win 4 majorities and despite winning a plurality of seats in 2017 lost power when the Greens signed a confidence agreement with the NDP. Now the BC”Liberals” look to be toast.

    The BC”Liberals” changed their name partly because they were being confused with the unpopular federal Liberals. Now nobody knows who they are and what they stand for. On top of that they kicked out John Rustad over some online post he made about climate change. Rustad moved to the Conservatives and became leader. Do the Conservatives get that bump in the polls without Rustad (as unknown as he is at least to me) becoming their leader.

    And how lucky are Rustad and the BC Conservatives now that Poilievre is crushing the polls federally and Singh/NDP can be tied to the unpopular federal Liberals through their confidence agreement. Guaranteed that Poilievre makes several trips out to BC in October as that will help both him federally and the BC party provincially.

    Anyway, Harvey, in our lifetime, we have seen the rise and fall of the Socreds, the decline and rise and fall of the Liberals and now after more than 70 years of being a virtual nothing party, we are seeing the rise of the Conservatives.

    But we shouldn’t be surprised. Whatever party name they want to use, Conservatives have been in power for 56 years to the NDP’s 17 since I was born.

    Side note. Except for the pandemic election, the NDP generally top out at 40% even when they win majorities. That’s what they are polling now. The 338 site has the NDP winning the next election if polls don’t change. They also don’t have BC United winning any seats which I think is a mistake. Not sure who all is running for re-election but someone like Shirley Bond could win just on name/reputation. So if that occurs, and the Greens win a handful then all sorts of post election scenarios are possible.

    (Response: Interesting that you say you’re seeing me “happiest’ in writing about polls that show BC Conservatives have momentum, the Liberals (BC United) falling, but also showing the NDP is heading to another election victory! LOL! Especially with all the criticism I’ve levelled at Eby/NDP, Gordon Campbell/Liberals and, federally, Liberals and Conservatives in this blog. Very complex … so let me explain: I’m still a journalist at heart and with long experience: I will be critical of EVERY and ANY politician and party and government that I see lying, deceiving, failing …and, worst of all now that I am blogging and expressing personal opinions, not taking my advice! How foolish of them! 🙂 I don’t really have a blind, partisan loyalty: have voted for all the major parties, federally and provincially, even the Greens, until they went extreme, proved they can’t govern (both at the Vancouver Park Board and City Council) and even anti-Semitic. So what makes me a really happy? A rollicking, fun, even dramatic election campaign … democracy at its best! Bring it on! 🙂 🙂 🙂 h.o)

  15. Stu de Baker says:

    Your response to Not Sure “Interesting that you say you’re seeing me “happiest’ in writing about polls that show BC Conservatives have momentum, the Liberals (BC United) falling, but also showing the NDP is heading to another election victory.”

    That wasn’t how I read his comment at all. You added the bit judging why he thought you were happy, and I think Not Sure was enjoying the new HO’s obvious good mood, even before you said: “So what makes me a really happy? A rollicking, fun, even dramatic election campaign … democracy at its best! Bring it on!”

    That joy, replacing months (years?) of angry vitriol shone through and is what made me say earlier, I liked this blog and was looking forward to more.

    This is your zone.

    (Response: Believe me, I rarely get “angry” … usually only at great injustices, but certainly not at politicians or governments of any or all political stripes, who we are so often used to seeing lying, deceiving and denying the public the right to know the truth on so many issues/topics. In fact, I have actually quite enjoyed … for 38 years while working and now in blogging … doing a public service in exposing and ranting at those oh-so-easy targets! 🙂 Now, how about an Order of BC for doing that so long!! h.o)

  16. daniel says:

    The prospect of another four years of the NDP scares the bejesus out of me. Not me personally so much, but what it may be doing to BC’s finances/future.
    My take is that it seems like it’s “my way or the highway” for Eby just as it seems to be for our prime minister. I am not positive if that’s the case, but my gut feeling is that this is the way it goes. Everyone falls in line so as not to jeopardise those fat pensions? I’m not sure. It reminds me of a U S pundit’s recent remark after Nickey Hailey stated she will now vote for Trump. She summed it up as spineless. Sounds about right.
    My work brought me here to BC from Winnipeg in 1988. Manitoba has elected the NDP four times since it became a province. I cannot recall any of them governing the way it’s being done here by Eby, at least to my knowledge. Pandering and handing out millions to drug addicts and indiginous factions, just to name two.
    Unbelievable.

    (Response: What scares me is what kinds of tax/fees/rate increases Eby/NDP have planned for moderate and middle income working people …beyond the ever increasing carbon taxes we already know about …to support their Robin Hood ideology??? They won’t tell us before or during the election campaign, but facing a projected deficit of 7.7 Billion in 2025-26, I know big time hurt for many unsuspecting working voters is coming if the NDP government is returned. h.o)

  17. e.a.f. says:

    When the Conservatives have candidates like the one in Comox-Coourtenay, who had to step aside for his comments, that momenteum can come to a grinding halt. Its a long time until election day, so much can change.
    I’m O.K. with tax increases but it doesn’t have to be just for moderate and middle income working people. B.C. received a D plus for its handling of poverty or not handling it. The praires all received D minus and Quebec C plus. Of course Quebec has higher taxes so there isn’t any reason B.C. can’t pay the same. as to the answer of NO we have high costs for housing, well we were all so happy to have increased prices because people were making money. This is what you wind up with.
    We could stop with giving subsidies to business and salary increases to mayors for doing their jobs by going to meetings.
    Voters might want to look at Alberta and see how well their Conservative style party is doing for citizens and local governments. Yes, I know prices of housing is lower than here, but they’re going up and they could well wind up looking like B.C.’s housing market.
    I’ve not been able to recall when a Conservative government has done much of anything in the area of providing social programs, etc. We are in the pickle we are today thanks to inaction by the previous Socred, B.C. Lieberal, B.C. United party. They didn’t have a keen interest in building affordable house, etc.
    So if you didn’t like them you certainly aren’t going to like the Conservatives. When you lower taxes, which I’m sure they would do if they became government, you defund government and with that programs disappear, so what programs would you like to have be eliminated.

    (Response: I’m not sure the BC Conservatives, with so many neophyte candidates, would be ready to govern well; but we may be seeing the birth of a new Official Opposition. The polls still seem to show another NDP term, but who knows: there could be a Conservative/United agreement taken to the Lieutenant Governor if the election results are close! h.o)

  18. Old Islander says:

    I guess I’m in the ‘throw the bums out’ camp for the next BC election. But it is difficult to vote for the party with the best chance of defeating the NDP, when they have ultra-right candidates and upper echelon brass, as do the BC Conservatives. I cannot vote for a party with Angelo Isidorou serving as Executive Director.
    In this link – https://thetyee.ca/News/2021/01/21/Worries-Rise-NPA-Vancouver-Extremist-Candidates-2022/ – he’s in Vancouver in 2017 at a demonstration at Jack Pool Plaza, wearing a MAGA hat and flashing a ‘white power’ symbol along with several of his buddies.
    I’d love to see the NDP out but are they worse than Trumpism? I don’t think so…”

    (Response: I’m sure both the NDP and BC United are digging deep into the background of EVERY BC Conservative candidate, looking for things that will make voters feel uneasy. If the current polls are even close to accurate, I doubt United will end up bypassing the Conservatives (unless something really disastrous surfaces), but think the NDP could benefit from any negative revelations. Kind of a “better the devil we know…” situation. h.o)

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